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Jul 27, 2026

Federal Judge Blocks Minnesota's First-in-Nation Prediction Markets Ban

A federal judge granted a preliminary injunction Monday blocking Minnesota from enforcing a new law that would have made it the first state to ban prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. The ruling came days before the law was set to take effect, with the judge finding it likely conflicts with the Commodity Exchange Act.

Jul 27, 2026·8 sources
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Top claims

  • ▪Under the Donald Trump administration, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has argued that event contracts traded on prediction markets qualify as swaps under federal jurisdiction.
  • ▪Judge Katherine Menendez ruled that the Commodity Exchange Act likely preempts Minnesota's law because the federal statute grants the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over event contracts.
  • ▪A White House teleprompter operator reportedly made over $100,000 by using inside information to bet on the content of Donald Trump's speeches on prediction markets.

Subtopics

Crypto regulation1Federal preemption1Onchain prediction markets1

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