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Sep 16, 2026

Federal Reserve raises interest rates for first time since 2023

The Federal Reserve unanimously voted to raise its benchmark rate by 0.25 percentage points to 3.75-4%, the first increase in three years, despite President Trump's public opposition to the move.

Sep 16, 2026·21 sources
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Sep 10, 2026

US wholesale inflation rises to 5.4% as oil prices surge above $100

US producer price index rose 5.4% year-over-year in August, exceeding forecasts of 5.3%, as Brent crude topped $107 per barrel amid Middle East tensions, increasing pressure on the Federal Reserve ahead of its September meeting.

Sep 10, 2026·3 sources
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Inflation holds steady at 3.4% in August as Iran war drives energy costs higher

Consumer prices rose 3.4% annually in August, unchanged from July, as the Iran war pushed gasoline and diesel prices higher. The persistent inflation increases pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates next week.

Sep 10, 2026·16 sources
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Sep 4, 2026

Trump demands Fed cut rates, threatens to halt trade with deficit countries

President Trump intensified pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, threatening to cut off trade with countries with which the US has a deficit if the central bank does not comply. He made the comments after a stronger-than-expected jobs report.

Sep 4, 2026·4 sources
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US adds 162,000 jobs in August, nearly triple expectations

The US economy added 162,000 jobs in August, far exceeding the consensus estimate of 55,000-56,000. Unemployment held at 4.1%, complicating Federal Reserve rate decisions.

Sep 4, 2026·6 sources
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Sep 3, 2026

Revolut and OpenReserve receive preliminary US banking approvals

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency granted preliminary conditional approval to both Revolut and a16z-backed OpenReserve to establish national banks in the US. Both companies plan to offer cryptocurrency services, though additional approvals from FDIC and Federal Reserve are still required.

Sep 3, 2026·5 sources
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Bitcoin surges above $81,000 as Fed signals potential rate pause

Bitcoin rallied approximately 5% to break above $81,000 on September 3 after Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller signaled support for holding rates steady in September. The move triggered over $415 million in short liquidations and marked Bitcoin's highest level since May.

Sep 3, 2026·5 sources
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Aug 28, 2026

Kevin Warsh signals possible Fed rate hikes at Jackson Hole speech

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh warned at the Jackson Hole conference that inflation remains too high and suggested the central bank may need to raise interest rates in coming months, despite potential political pressure from President Trump.

Aug 28, 2026·4 sources
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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh signals possible interest rate hike as inflation remains elevated

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh indicated at the Jackson Hole economic symposium that the central bank may raise interest rates in the coming months, stating inflation is still too high and "we have work to do." This represents a clearer signal about potential rate hikes than Warsh had previously provided.

Aug 28, 2026·4 sources
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Aug 27, 2026

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh signals inflation remains too high at Jackson Hole

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh delivered his first Jackson Hole keynote, stating inflation is still too high and suggesting the central bank may need to raise interest rates in coming months. Markets reacted with volatility as Bitcoin fell below $80,000.

Aug 27, 2026·18 sources
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Aug 26, 2026

Chinese hackers breached DOJ, NASA, Federal Reserve, and Senate in major cyber operation

The Justice Department announced it disrupted a Chinese state-sponsored hacking operation that successfully infiltrated multiple sensitive federal agencies including the DOJ, Federal Reserve, Senate, NASA, and Department of Energy.

Aug 26, 2026·3 sources
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Aug 7, 2026

Trump renews effort to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook over mortgage fraud allegations

President Trump is reviving his attempt to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, pressing her to respond to allegations of mortgage fraud that Cook has called baseless, potentially sparking a fresh legal battle over Fed independence.

Aug 7, 2026·5 sources
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Aug 6, 2026

Trump calls Fed Chair Kevin Warsh repeatedly, testing central bank independence

President Trump has repeatedly called Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh to chat, renewing questions about the independence of the central bank. Trump publicly stated rates should drop but acknowledged it's not entirely Warsh's decision alone.

Aug 6, 2026·3 sources
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Jul 28, 2026

Federal Reserve holds rates at 3.50%-3.75% as three officials dissent for hike

The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% on July 29, but three policymakers voted for a 25-basis-point hike—the first three-member dissent since 2016. Markets had priced in roughly 35% odds of a surprise hike.

Jul 28, 2026·9 sources
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Jun 29, 2026

Supreme Court Blocks Trump's Attempt to Fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook

The US Supreme Court refused to allow President Trump to immediately fire Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, preserving the central bank's independence. However, the court did grant Trump broader authority to fire heads of most other independent agencies.

Jun 29, 2026·9 sources
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Jun 22, 2026

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan Dies at 100

Alan Greenspan, who served as Federal Reserve chairman for nearly two decades and became one of the most influential economic policymakers of his era, has died at age 100.

Jun 22, 2026·2 sources
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Jun 17, 2026

US House and Senate Reach Deal on Housing Bill Including CBDC Ban Through 2030

Congressional leaders announced a bipartisan agreement on the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, which includes provisions barring the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency until 2030. The Senate previously voted 89-10 in favor of similar CBDC restrictions.

Jun 17, 2026·3 sources
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Jun 1, 2026

Federal Reserve Chair Powell Warns Against Politicizing the Fed

Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell warned that politicizing the Fed would cost public trust and made a broader call for defense of democratic institutions, saying they face a 'stress test.'

Jun 1, 2026·2 sources
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May 22, 2026

Federal Reserve Proposes New Limited Payment Accounts for Fintechs

The Federal Reserve proposed creating a new, more limited form of payment account that would allow firms like fintechs to move money across the Fed's payment rails without enjoying all the privileges of traditional master accounts.

May 22, 2026·1 source
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May 20, 2026

Trump Signs Executive Order Directing Fed to Review Crypto Payment System Access

President Trump signed an executive order instructing the Federal Reserve and other regulators to review and modernize banking rules regarding payment system access for crypto and fintech firms within 120 days.

May 20, 2026·6 sources
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Apr 30, 2026

Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady in Split 8-4 Vote at Powell's Final Meeting as Chair

The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates unchanged in what is expected to be Jerome Powell's final FOMC meeting as chairman, with a split 8-4 vote creating uncertainty around future policy. Kevin Warsh cleared Senate Banking Committee approval to become the next Fed chair.

Apr 30, 2026·5 sources
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Apr 24, 2026

DOJ Drops Criminal Probe of Fed Chair Powell, Clearing Path for Warsh Confirmation

The Department of Justice closed its criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, passing the matter to the Fed's inspector general. The move clears a potential obstacle for Senate confirmation of crypto-friendly Kevin Warsh as Powell's replacement.

Apr 24, 2026·3 sources
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Apr 22, 2026

Bipartisan PACE Act Seeks to Open Federal Reserve Payment Rails to Nonbank Crypto Firms

California Representatives Sam Liccardo and Young Kim introduced bipartisan legislation that would grant certain nonbank providers, including crypto firms, access to the Federal Reserve's payment infrastructure.

Apr 22, 2026·2 sources
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Apr 9, 2026

Treasury and Fed call bank CEOs to emergency meeting over Mythos threat

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell summoned major bank CEOs to an urgent meeting to warn that Anthropic’s Mythos model could sharply raise cyber risk for the financial system.

Apr 9, 2026·4 sources
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Top claims

  • ▪The Federal Reserve's September 16, 2026 economic projections show the median federal funds rate ending both 2026 and 2027 at 4.1%, implying no rate cuts through 2027
  • ▪The unanimous September 16, 2026 interest rate hike is seen by analysts as a key test of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's credibility and independence from President Donald Trump, who appointed him
  • ▪President Donald Trump's top economic adviser Kevin Hassett stated on September 14, 2026 that while Trump would not be happy about a Federal Reserve interest rate hike, he would defend Kevin Warsh's policy independence from the White House

People involved

Donald Trump

Subtopics

Federal Reserve policy9Interest rates7Monetary policy7Crypto regulation6Trump administration5Inflation4Jerome Powell4Crypto & banking regulation3Economic policy3Federal Reserve independence3Bitcoin market analysis2Central bank independence2Crypto payments regulation2Department of Justice2Energy prices2Lisa Cook2Macroeconomic factors affecting crypto markets2Oil market2Payments2U.S. policy & law2US Senate2AI existential risk (x-risk)1AI governance1AI labor market1

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