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Sep 15, 2026

Democrats gain ground in traditionally Republican states as 2026 midterms approach

With two months until Election Day, Democrats are showing unexpected competitiveness in Texas and Kansas, with national forecasters rating Texas as a toss-up and prediction markets showing record-high odds for Democrats taking control of both chambers of Congress.

Sep 15, 2026·3 sources
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Top claims

  • ▪In the 2018 Texas Senate race, Democrat Beto O'Rourke lost to Republican incumbent Ted Cruz by 2.6 percentage points, representing fewer than 200,000 votes.
  • ▪The nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted its ratings for the Alaska and Texas U.S. Senate races from "Lean Republican" to tossup in July and August 2026, respectively.
  • ▪The close 2018 Texas Senate race enabled Democrats to flip twelve state House seats, narrowing the Republican legislative majority and leading to a collaborative legislative session.

Subtopics

United States midterm elections1

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