Senate Majority PAC is reserving $5 million in Kansas as the Senate race between Republican Senator Roger Marshall and Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton moves to a tossup. The Cook Political Report shifted its rating following a dead-heat Times/Siena poll. National Republicans are diverting over $10 million from North Carolina to defend Marshall. Both campaigns exchange sharp attacks, targeting Marshall's vote on Jeffrey Epstein files and Hamilton over church abuse claims.
Democratic and Republican ad spending in Kansas
- ▪The top super PAC for Senate Republicans redirected advertising funds to Kansas to defend incumbent Senator Roger Marshall, while pulling tens of millions of dollars in ad spending from North Carolina
- ▪Senate Majority PAC, the top super PAC for Senate Democrats, reserved $5 million in Kansas television and digital advertisements through Election Day, bringing total Democratic advertising spending in the Kansas Senate race to over $9 million
- ▪Republicans scheduled $13 million worth of television, radio, and digital advertisements in Kansas through November 3, 2026
Ad attacks over Epstein vote and church allegations
- ▪Senator Roger Marshall defended his vote to table the Jeffrey Epstein file release amendment by calling the Democratic-led proposal a 'political stunt.'
- ▪Senator Roger Marshall launched a television ad attacking Adam Hamilton over allegations of sexual abuse involving a volunteer at the church Hamilton founded
- ▪Adam Hamilton's campaign denounced Senator Roger Marshall's television advertisement concerning church volunteer abuse allegations as a 'desperate lie.'
Polls and ratings shift Kansas Senate race
- ▪A New York Times/Siena University poll conducted around October 4, 2026 showed incumbent Republican Senator Roger Marshall and Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton in a dead heat
- ▪The Cook Political Report changed its rating for the Kansas Senate race from 'Lean Republican' to a tossup on October 6, 2026
Candidates' political vulnerabilities and campaign messages
- ▪Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton, a pastor, has branded Senator Roger Marshall responsible for financial woes in Kansas while promising to strengthen the state's social safety net
- ▪First-term Republican Senator Roger Marshall has faced political challenges due to President Trump's sagging approval ratings and elevated fuel prices in Kansas
Debatable claims
- ▪Kansas's Senate race is a genuine tossup
- ▪Expanding the social safety net is an effective response to economic strain in Kansas
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