BIP 321 stories

Apr 15, 2026

Polymarket odds of Satoshi moving Bitcoin double to 9.3% following BIP-361 publication

Following BIP-361's publication, Polymarket odds for "Will Satoshi Nakamoto move any Bitcoin in 2026?" climbed to 9.3%, up from 4.5% at the start of the year, drawing over $2.4 million in trading volume. Analysts noted the muted overall response suggests traders still view BIP-361 as a governance discussion rather than an imminent catalyst, but the doubling of odds signals growing market unease around Satoshi's estimated 1.1 million BTC.

Apr 15, 20263 sources

Charles Hoskinson attacks BIP-361, says Bitcoin's governance can't solve the quantum problem

Polymarket odds of Satoshi moving Bitcoin double to 9.3% following BIP-361 publication

Bitcoin's quantum freeze proposal splits the industry; three counter-approaches emerge

BIP-361 proposes freezing quantum-vulnerable Bitcoin within five years

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