Twelve addresses holding a combined 600 Bitcoin mined in 2010 moved funds after more than 16 years, reigniting speculation over a possible link to Satoshi Nakamoto. The coins were worth approximately $120 when mined and are now valued at roughly $48 million.
In a research note published May 3, 2026, Galaxy Digital Research Director Alex Thorn reported that the Bitcoin community is coalescing around a consensus to leave Satoshi Nakamoto's coins untouched while preparing for quantum computing threats through post-quantum cryptography adoption.
Venture fund Paradigm proposed a new design called PACTs that would allow long-term Bitcoin holders to privately timestamp proof of key control before quantum computers arrive, creating a potential rescue mechanism for vulnerable early Bitcoin holdings without moving funds onchain.
Paul Sztorc announced a Bitcoin hard fork that would introduce a competing layer-1 blockchain and seven layer-2 networks, with plans to reallocate Satoshi Nakamoto's estimated 1.1 million BTC reserve to investors.
Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson releases a video calling BIP-361 a mischaracterized soft fork that would render 1.7 million BTC permanently unrecoverable. He tweets "Have fun stealing Satoshi's coins" directly at supporters of the proposal and argues Bitcoin's lack of on-chain governance makes the quantum problem unsolvable, while positioning Cardano's governance model as the alternative.
Following BIP-361's publication, Polymarket odds for "Will Satoshi Nakamoto move any Bitcoin in 2026?" climbed to 9.3%, up from 4.5% at the start of the year, drawing over $2.4 million in trading volume. Analysts noted the muted overall response suggests traders still view BIP-361 as a governance discussion rather than an imminent catalyst, but the doubling of odds signals growing market unease around Satoshi's estimated 1.1 million BTC.
Jameson Lopp and five co-authors publish BIP-361, a three-phase plan to phase out legacy signatures and freeze any unmigrated coins within five years, including an estimated 1.1 million BTC attributed to Satoshi Nakamoto.
