Operation Absolute Resolve stories

Nov 7, 2026

Polymarket investigates suspicious bets placed before NYT/Siena polls were released

Vanderbilt researchers flagged a trader who made over $257,000 on Senate race bets placed shortly before major New York Times/Siena political polls went public, prompting a Polymarket investigation into potential information leakage.

Nov 7, 20262 sources

Top claims

▪In April 2026, U.S. Army Master Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke was charged by the Department of Justice for allegedly earning over $400,000 on a prediction market using nonpublic military information regarding Venezuela
▪On October 30, 2026, around 5:30 p.m. ET, an anonymous cryptocurrency wallet received a deposit of over $2 million before executing bets on Polymarket
▪The Department of Justice alleged U.S. Army Master Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke bought Polymarket shares on Nicolás Maduro's removal after participating in Operation Absolute Resolve in Caracas

Subtopics

2026 U.S. midterm elections1 Crypto market integrity & manipulation1 Crypto prediction markets1 Election betting prediction markets1 Elections1 New York Times1 Nicolás Maduro1 On-chain analysis1 Onchain prediction markets1 Senate races1 US midterm elections1

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