Geo News
Community curated by people like you
LatestAICryptoHealthWorld AffairsUS Politics

AGI timelines & forecasting stories

Sep 18, 2026

OpenAI projects $278 billion cash burn by 2030

OpenAI expects negative free cash flow of $278 billion from 2026 to 2030 as it ramps up spending on computing power and infrastructure, according to a company presentation reported by the Financial Times.

Sep 18, 2026·3 sources
00
Sep 17, 2026

Anthropic reports Claude drives 26% of its own R&D work

Anthropic disclosed that its Claude chatbot now leads 26% of the company's AI research and development work, providing the clearest indication yet that AI systems are beginning to build their own successors. The company also proposed three metrics for measuring AI progress.

Sep 17, 2026·5 sources
00
Sep 12, 2026

Top AI leaders including Dario Amodei, Sam Altman and Elon Musk call for industry slowdown amid safety concerns

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei published an essay urging the AI industry to slow development pace, with OpenAI's Sam Altman and Elon Musk joining the call. Amodei cited exponential growth as a warning sign requiring safeguards, arguing that even one or two extra years could help advance safety measures before models reach critical capability levels.

Sep 12, 2026·5 sources
00

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei calls for AI development slowdown

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei published a 3,800-word essay calling on AI companies to deliberately slow frontier model development, warning that unchecked growth could threaten the internet within 6-12 months. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Elon Musk publicly supported the proposal.

Sep 12, 2026·13 sources
00
Sep 10, 2026

Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon resigns, warns AI could kill humanity by decade's end

Jacob Coxon, a researcher at Anthropic who previously worked at OpenAI, resigned and publicly warned that AI companies are racing to build technologies that "could kill us all by the end of the decade." Multiple other Anthropic researchers publicly agreed with his warning, while critics including Elon Musk dismissed the claims and the Washington Post downplayed the threat.

Sep 10, 2026·5 sources
00
Sep 9, 2026

Anthropic researchers warn AI could cause human extinction by 2030

Three current and former Anthropic researchers, including departing safety researcher Jacob Coxon, issued stark warnings that AI could 'kill all humans' within the next decade. The warnings prompted immediate congressional alarm and calls for regulation.

Sep 9, 2026·11 sources
00

AI researchers resign from Anthropic, warn of existential risk by end of decade

Jacob Coxon and other AI researchers have resigned from leading companies including Anthropic and Google DeepMind, publicly warning that AI development could pose existential risks to humanity by 2030. Coxon estimated a more than 10% chance of human extinction within the next decade, sparking renewed debate about AI safety.

Sep 9, 2026·9 sources
00
Aug 26, 2026

OpenAI says it will achieve AGI before end of 2026

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated the company expects to build artificial general intelligence before the end of 2026, with research chief Mark Chen saying OpenAI is already '80% of the way' to AGI.

Aug 26, 2026·2 sources
00
Jul 28, 2026

OpenAI and Anthropic employees circulate petition calling for AI development pacing

Employees from OpenAI and Anthropic are circulating a petition asking the US government to support mechanisms that would help 'deliberately pace' AI development to prevent the technology from advancing too rapidly.

Jul 28, 2026·2 sources
00
Jul 26, 2026

Anthropic's Fable 5.1 and OpenAI's GPT-6 Both Target August 2026 Launch as AI Competition Intensifies

Multiple leaked reports indicate both Anthropic's Fable 5.1 and OpenAI's GPT-6 are targeting August 2026 releases, with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman reportedly briefing the Trump administration on GPT-6's advanced capabilities including autonomous research and penetration testing.

Jul 26, 2026·9 sources
00
Jun 22, 2026

Five Eyes intelligence alliance warns AI models capable of taking down governments are months away

The Five Eyes intelligence-sharing alliance issued a rare joint statement warning that powerful AI models capable of disrupting governments and businesses could emerge within months, not years. The agencies urged leaders to act immediately as adversaries are already using AI to accelerate cyber operations.

Jun 22, 2026·9 sources
00
Jun 4, 2026

Anthropic reports AI systems now accelerating their own development, raising recursive improvement concerns

Anthropic disclosed that its AI systems are increasingly handling their own development cycle, with internal data showing AI accelerating the creation of more advanced AI systems. The company warns this trend could lead to recursive self-improvement where AI autonomously builds better versions of itself.

Jun 4, 2026·2 sources
00
May 21, 2026

Anthropic Co-Founder Predicts AI Will Make Nobel Prize-Winning Discovery Within a Year

Jack Clark, Anthropic co-founder, stated that AI will help make a Nobel prize-winning discovery within a year, describing a 'vertiginous sense of progress' alongside risks of the technology.

May 21, 2026·1 source
00
Apr 12, 2026

Google DeepMind CEO Hassabis Predicts AGI Within Five Years, Compares Impact to Ten Industrial Revolutions

DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis stated AGI could arrive within five years and compared its impact to ten industrial revolutions compressed into a single decade, while warning that AI is currently overhyped in some areas.

Apr 12, 2026·3 sources
00

Top claims

  • ▪OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated on September 12, 2026, that the company would not go public in 2026 due to concerns regarding artificial intelligence safety
  • ▪OpenAI is on track to exhaust the $122 billion OpenAI raised in March 2026 by the year 2028, according to a company presentation
  • ▪OpenAI's massive spending on computing infrastructure is an unsustainable business model

People involved

Elon MuskSam AltmanDario AmodeiMark ChenDonald TrumpJack ClarkJohn JumperDemis HassabisSundar Pichai

Subtopics

AI safety & social impact7AI existential risk (x-risk)5AGI catastrophic risk4OpenAI4AI governance3AI research & benchmarks3AI startups3AGI2AGI arms race & geopolitics2AGI definitions & criteria2AI agents2AI alignment2AI ethics2AI policy2AI regulation & lawsuits2AI security2Fast vs slow AI takeoff2Recursive self-improvement2AGI control problem1AGI economic impact1AI1AI capabilities1AI coding assistants1AI Data Center Gold Rush1

Related timelines

Congress

108 stories

Crypto hacks

100 stories

Iran War

209 stories

Payments

118 stories

Trump administration

116 stories