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Oct 27, 2026

Democrats lead Republicans by 8 points one week before midterms

A new NPR/PBS News/Marist poll shows Democrats holding an 8-point advantage over Republicans among likely voters with one week until the midterm elections, as control of both chambers of Congress hangs in the balance.

Oct 27, 2026·3 sources
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Top claims

  • ▪Democratic strategist Joel Payne stated in October 2026 that Republican ad spending in deep-red states like Kansas and Mississippi indicated GOP concern over holding congressional seats
  • ▪Republican strategist Melik Abdul acknowledged in late October 2026 that the U.S. House of Representatives was out of reach for Republicans, though he expected the party to maintain Senate control
  • ▪According to University of Florida Election Lab data cited on October 27, 2026, over 30 million early ballots had been cast nationwide, including 15.1 million by mail and 15.5 million in person

Topics

2026 U.S. midterm electionsDemocratic PartyUS midterm electionsU.S. House of RepresentativesTrump administrationPolitical partiesDemocratic PartyCongressTariffsElectionsUS SenateRepublican PartyU.S. election polling & forecasting

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KansasMississippi