U.S. election polling & forecasting stories

Oct 21, 2026

Democrats hold 10-point advantage over Republicans ahead of midterms

A CNN/SSRS poll shows Democrats leading Republicans by 10 percentage points on the generic congressional ballot, with 49% supporting Democratic candidates versus 39% for Republicans, less than two weeks before the midterm elections.

Oct 21, 20262 sources

Jun 1, 2026

Ohio governor and Senate races rated toss-ups in 2026 midterms as state becomes battleground

Ohio's 2026 midterm elections for governor and U.S. Senate are both rated as toss-ups by The Cook Political Report, marking a shift for the traditionally Republican-leaning state. Former presidential candidate Vivek Ramaswamy is facing a tougher-than-expected fight in the gubernatorial race.

Jun 1, 20266 sources

Top claims

▪Decision Desk HQ forecast on October 21, 2026, that Democrats have a 77% chance of winning control of the House and a 55% chance of winning the Senate
▪Among registered voters in the October 2026 CNN/SSRS poll who say they are extremely motivated to vote, Democrats hold an 18-point margin over Republicans
▪President Donald Trump received a 27% approval rating on handling the economy and a 23% approval rating on handling inflation in the October 2026 CNN/SSRS poll

People involved

Vivek Ramaswamy

Subtopics

2026 U.S. midterm elections2 Elections2 US midterm elections2 Congress1 Democratic Party1 Political parties1 Republican Party1 Senate races1 State politics1 U.S. governors1 U.S. House of Representatives politics1 U.S. swing states & battlegrounds1

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