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Crypto prediction markets stories

Sep 29, 2026

Kalshi in advanced talks to raise $1 billion at $40 billion valuation

Prediction market platform Kalshi is in advanced discussions to raise approximately $1 billion in funding that would value the company at roughly $40 billion, nearly double its May 2026 valuation of $22 billion. Tiger Global and Dragoneer are reportedly in talks to lead the financing.

Sep 29, 2026·4 sources
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House Oversight expands prediction market insider trading probe to Hyperliquid, Crypto.com and PredictIt

House Oversight Chairman James Comer has requested records from Hyperliquid Labs, Crypto.com and PredictIt regarding user verification and suspicious trading activity, expanding an investigation into potential insider trading on prediction markets. The probe cites reports of a Hyperliquid short placed before an October 2025 tariff announcement.

Sep 29, 2026·7 sources
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Sep 25, 2026

Kalshi loses court fight as states win power to regulate sports prediction markets

The 6th US Circuit Court of Appeals ruled on September 25 that states can apply local gambling laws to Kalshi's sports event contracts, rejecting the prediction market provider's argument that federal law preempts state regulation.

Sep 25, 2026·3 sources
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Sep 24, 2026

New York Attorney General sues Polymarket for operating unlicensed gambling business

New York AG Letitia James filed suit against Polymarket US on September 24, alleging it operates as an unlicensed gambling business and seeking to halt its operations in the state.

Sep 24, 2026·3 sources
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Sep 23, 2026

Senate Banking Democrats demand public hearing on prediction markets

All 11 Democratic members of the Senate Banking Committee called on Chair Tim Scott to hold a public hearing on prediction markets on September 23, the same day Republican members met privately with Kalshi CEO.

Sep 23, 2026·3 sources
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Sep 22, 2026

CFTC warns prediction market mention contracts face manipulation presumption

The CFTC issued a staff advisory stating that prediction market contracts settling on whether a named person says certain words should be presumed readily susceptible to manipulation, requiring exchanges to meet a higher regulatory bar.

Sep 22, 2026·4 sources
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Aug 4, 2026

Polymarket Seeks $1 Billion Funding Round at Over $20 Billion Valuation

Prediction market platform Polymarket is in talks to raise approximately $1 billion at a valuation exceeding $20 billion, more than double its $9 billion valuation from October 2025. The fundraising comes months after the company closed an earlier round with investment from hedge fund D.E. Shaw & Co.

Aug 4, 2026·7 sources
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Jul 31, 2026

New York Sues Kalshi for Operating Illegal Gambling Business, Seeks $36 Billion

New York Governor Kathy Hochul and Attorney General Letitia James filed a lawsuit against prediction market platform KalshiEX, LLC, alleging it operates an illegal, unlicensed gambling operation in the state. The lawsuit seeks to halt Kalshi's operations and demands the company forfeit approximately $36 billion.

Jul 31, 2026·7 sources
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Jul 22, 2026

Talos announces integration with Kalshi for institutional prediction-market trading

Institutional digital asset trading platform Talos has integrated with prediction market operator Kalshi, enabling hedge funds and market makers to access event contracts and crypto perpetuals through their existing trading infrastructure without separate connections.

Jul 22, 2026·8 sources
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Top claims

  • ▪Kalshi's annualized trading volume tripled to $178 billion over a six-month period leading up to May 2026, up from $52 billion
  • ▪Kalshi's institutional trading volume surged 800% over a six-month period leading up to May 2026, and its annualized revenue run-rate exceeded $1.5 billion
  • ▪Prediction markets are a legitimate asset class for institutional hedging

Subtopics

Crypto regulation6Congress2Crypto enforcement actions2Crypto market integrity & manipulation2Institutional crypto adoption25th Circuit Court of Appeals1Commodity Futures Trading Commission1Crypto derivatives1Crypto market regulation1Crypto market structure1Crypto regulatory agencies1Crypto venture capital1DeFi regulation1Democratic Party1Federal preemption1Gambling regulation1Insider trading1Legal conflict over Kalshi's sports betting contracts1Letitia James1NY AG Polymarket gambling lawsuit1Republican Party1State-level AI regulation1Venture capital funding1

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