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Onchain prediction markets stories

Aug 2, 2026

Prediction Markets Kalshi and Polymarket Hit Record $50.59 Billion Trading Volume in July 2026

Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket recorded a combined $50.59 billion in trading volume during July 2026, setting a new monthly record driven by strong interest in FIFA World Cup betting markets and sports contracts.

Aug 2, 2026·3 sources
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Aug 1, 2026

Former Rep. George Santos Settles Political Betting Market Manipulation Probe for $35,000

George Santos, the former Republican congressman expelled from the House in 2023, has settled an investigation into unlawful trading related to wagers he placed on prediction market Kalshi, paying $35,000 to resolve the probe.

Aug 1, 2026·2 sources
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Jul 31, 2026

New York Attorney General Sues Kalshi Over Prediction Markets, Alleging Illegal Gambling

New York's attorney general has filed a lawsuit against prediction market platform Kalshi, claiming the company operates illegal gambling operations without proper licensing. The legal action follows similar suits against cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase and Gemini.

Jul 31, 2026·1 source
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Jul 28, 2026

44 State Attorneys General Challenge Prediction Markets Over Sports Wagering Concerns

A coalition of 44 state attorneys general sent a letter to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission opposing prediction markets, specifically citing concerns about sports wagering and betting activities.

Jul 28, 2026·1 source
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Jul 27, 2026

Federal Judge Blocks Minnesota's First-in-Nation Prediction Markets Ban

A federal judge granted a preliminary injunction Monday blocking Minnesota from enforcing a new law that would have made it the first state to ban prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. The ruling came days before the law was set to take effect, with the judge finding it likely conflicts with the Commodity Exchange Act.

Jul 27, 2026·8 sources
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Jul 16, 2026

White House teleprompter operator placed on leave after allegedly making $100K betting on Trump speeches

Gabriel Perez, President Donald Trump's longtime teleprompter operator, has been placed on unpaid administrative leave and is under federal investigation by the CFTC for allegedly using insider knowledge to profit from bets on Trump's speeches on the prediction market Kalshi.

Jul 16, 2026·9 sources
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Top claims

  • ▪Polymarket's market on the FIFA World Cup winner attracted approximately $4 billion in trading volume during the tournament
  • ▪Combined monthly trading volume for Kalshi, Polymarket, and Polymarket US reached a record $50.59 billion in July 2026, representing a 7.8% increase from the revised June 2026 total of $46.95 billion
  • ▪Kalshi recorded $37.7 billion in trading volume in July 2026, a 14% increase from June 2026, representing approximately 74.5% of the three platforms' combined total

People involved

Donald Trump

Subtopics

Crypto regulation5Gambling regulation2Sports betting2Commodity Exchange Act1Crypto enforcement actions1Crypto markets1DeFi1Federal preemption1Insider trading1Market manipulation1State-level AI regulation1Trump administration1U.S. domestic politics1

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