Polymarket is negotiating with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to lift its ban on U.S. traders, which has been in place since a 2022 settlement that forced the prediction market platform overseas. The company has discussed the matter with CFTC officials in recent weeks and previously received clearance for a separate U.S.-only platform in November 2025 that has not yet fully launched. Approval would require a CFTC vote, but four of five commission seats remain vacant with only Chairman Michael Selig serving, complicating the timeline. The move comes amid escalating jurisdictional battles between the CFTC and states like Wisconsin and New York, which argue prediction markets function as unlicensed gambling operations, while Selig maintains federal authority over the sector. Polymarket's U.S. reentry would enable direct competition with domestic rival Kalshi, and follows controversy over a soldier who allegedly used a VPN to make over $400,000 trading on classified information on Polymarket's international exchange.
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