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Aug 11, 2026

FlightAware sues Kalshi over unauthorized use of flight data in prediction markets

Flight tracking company FlightAware has filed a lawsuit against prediction market platform Kalshi, alleging unauthorized use of its flight data and brand in flight-cancellation betting markets. FlightAware is seeking court orders to halt Kalshi's use of its information.

Aug 11, 2026·1 source
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Aug 2, 2026

Prediction Markets Kalshi and Polymarket Hit Record $50.59 Billion Trading Volume in July 2026

Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket recorded a combined $50.59 billion in trading volume during July 2026, setting a new monthly record driven by strong interest in FIFA World Cup betting markets and sports contracts.

Aug 2, 2026·3 sources
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Aug 1, 2026

Former Rep. George Santos Settles Political Betting Market Manipulation Probe for $35,000

George Santos, the former Republican congressman expelled from the House in 2023, has settled an investigation into unlawful trading related to wagers he placed on prediction market Kalshi, paying $35,000 to resolve the probe.

Aug 1, 2026·2 sources
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Jul 31, 2026

George Santos settles CFTC charges for $35,000 over prediction market trades

Former congressman George Santos agreed to pay $35,000 to settle Commodity Futures Trading Commission charges related to trades he made on Kalshi regarding whether he would attend the State of the Union.

Jul 31, 2026·2 sources
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New York Attorney General Sues Kalshi Over Prediction Markets, Alleging Illegal Gambling

New York's attorney general has filed a lawsuit against prediction market platform Kalshi, claiming the company operates illegal gambling operations without proper licensing. The legal action follows similar suits against cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase and Gemini.

Jul 31, 2026·1 source
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Jul 29, 2026

Binance.US to apply for CFTC license in August for prediction markets platform

Binance.US CEO Stephen Gregory announced the exchange will apply for a CFTC Designated Contract Market license next month to launch prediction markets, joining competitors Gemini, Coinbase, Robinhood, Kalshi and Polymarket in the space.

Jul 29, 2026·3 sources
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Jul 27, 2026

Federal Judge Blocks Minnesota's First-in-Nation Prediction Markets Ban

A federal judge granted a preliminary injunction Monday blocking Minnesota from enforcing a new law that would have made it the first state to ban prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. The ruling came days before the law was set to take effect, with the judge finding it likely conflicts with the Commodity Exchange Act.

Jul 27, 2026·8 sources
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Jul 22, 2026

Talos announces integration with Kalshi for institutional prediction-market trading

Institutional digital asset trading platform Talos has integrated with prediction market operator Kalshi, enabling hedge funds and market makers to access event contracts and crypto perpetuals through their existing trading infrastructure without separate connections.

Jul 22, 2026·8 sources
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Jul 19, 2026

Kalshi adds 3 million users during FIFA World Cup

Prediction market platform Kalshi onboarded 3 million new users during the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with trading volumes surging above $1 billion across the platform during the tournament.

Jul 19, 2026·2 sources
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Jul 16, 2026

White House teleprompter operator placed on leave after allegedly making $100K betting on Trump speeches

Gabriel Perez, President Donald Trump's longtime teleprompter operator, has been placed on unpaid administrative leave and is under federal investigation by the CFTC for allegedly using insider knowledge to profit from bets on Trump's speeches on the prediction market Kalshi.

Jul 16, 2026·9 sources
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Kalshi launches prediction markets for clinical trials and FDA drug approvals

Prediction market platform Kalshi will begin taking bets on the outcomes of clinical trials and FDA regulatory reviews, making drug-development odds public for the first time and expanding into biotechnology.

Jul 16, 2026·3 sources
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Jun 19, 2026

Kalshi Explores IPO as Revenue Hits $2 Billion Annualized

Prediction market platform Kalshi has begun informal discussions with investment banks about a potential initial public offering, with the company reportedly achieving $2 billion in annualized revenue and a $22 billion valuation.

Jun 19, 2026·4 sources
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CFTC and SEC Request Public Comment on Defining 'Swaps' Amid CME Lawsuit

The CFTC and SEC issued a joint request for comment on clarifying definitions of 'swaps' and 'security-based swaps,' including for perpetual futures and event contracts, the same day CME Group announced plans to sue the CFTC over approval of perpetual futures for Kalshi and Coinbase.

Jun 19, 2026·3 sources
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Jun 9, 2026

Kalshi Implements Mandatory Employer Disclosure for Traders in Sensitive Markets to Combat Insider Trading

Prediction market platform Kalshi announced it will require users to disclose their employers before trading certain contracts involving sensitive information, such as corporate earnings and product launches. The move addresses growing concerns about insider trading on the CFTC-regulated platform.

Jun 9, 2026·11 sources
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Jun 1, 2026

Kalshi Launches First U.S. Regulated Bitcoin Perpetual Futures Amid George Santos Insider Trading Investigation

Prediction market platform Kalshi launched the first CFTC-regulated Bitcoin perpetual futures in the U.S. and applied for altcoin derivatives, while former congressman George Santos faces federal investigation for allegedly betting against his own attendance at a State of the Union address on the platform.

Jun 1, 2026·6 sources
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May 29, 2026

CFTC Approves First U.S.-Regulated Bitcoin Perpetual Futures on Kalshi and Coinbase

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission approved the first bitcoin perpetual futures contracts on U.S. regulated exchanges, with Kalshi and Coinbase Financial Markets receiving clearance to offer these products domestically. The landmark approval opens a product class that American traders have long accessed only through offshore platforms.

May 29, 2026·12 sources
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May 18, 2026

Kalshi Crosses $4 Billion in Weekly Trading Volume for First Time

Prediction market platform Kalshi recorded over $4 billion in weekly notional volume, up from $54.5 million in the same period last year, representing approximately 7,200% year-over-year growth.

May 18, 2026·1 source
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May 3, 2026

Polymarket and Kalshi Combined Lifetime Trading Volumes Hit $150 Billion in April

The two leading prediction market platforms reached $150 billion in combined lifetime trading volume during April, marking a major milestone as the sector gains widespread attention and regulatory scrutiny.

May 3, 2026·1 source
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Apr 30, 2026

Gemini Secures CFTC Derivatives Clearing Organization License for Prediction Markets and Perpetuals

Crypto exchange Gemini obtained a DCO license from the CFTC, allowing it to act as an in-house clearinghouse for derivatives and prediction markets, positioning it to compete with Kalshi and Polymarket.

Apr 30, 2026·3 sources
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Apr 29, 2026

Polymarket Reportedly Seeking CFTC Approval to Reopen U.S. Exchange

Polymarket is in talks with the CFTC to bring its main exchange back to U.S. traders, according to Bloomberg, which would allow it to compete directly with Kalshi domestically.

Apr 29, 2026·2 sources
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Apr 25, 2026

Brazil Bans Prediction Market Platforms Including Polymarket and Kalshi Citing Investor Protection

Brazil's Finance Ministry blocked 28 betting platforms including Polymarket and Kalshi, citing investor protection concerns and rising gambling addiction. Finance Minister Dario Durigan announced the sweeping ban affecting major prediction market operators.

Apr 25, 2026·2 sources
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Apr 24, 2026

Wisconsin Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood, Crypto.com and Coinbase Over Sports Event Contracts

Wisconsin Department of Justice filed lawsuit against five prediction market platforms, alleging their sports event contracts violate state gambling laws, citing platform language as evidence of gambling rather than investing.

Apr 24, 2026·2 sources
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Kalshi Bans Three US Politicians for Betting on Their Own Election Races

Prediction market platform Kalshi penalized three congressional candidates—Mark Moran, Matt Klein, and Ezekiel Enriquez—for wagering on their own campaigns. Minnesota State Senator Matt Klein admitted placing bets out of curiosity, while Moran claimed he wanted to test Kalshi's response to insider trading.

Apr 24, 2026·4 sources
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Apr 22, 2026

Kalshi and Polymarket Eye Crypto Perpetual Futures Trading Expansion

Prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are reportedly planning to launch crypto perpetual futures trading, expanding beyond event-based betting into derivatives markets.

Apr 22, 2026·5 sources
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Apr 16, 2026

Bernstein Projects Prediction Markets to Reach $1 Trillion Annual Volume by 2030

Bernstein analysts forecast prediction market volumes will hit $1 trillion by 2030, identifying Robinhood and Coinbase as key distribution platforms. The firm sees 'asymmetric upside' for Robinhood with a $130 price target, noting sports betting as entry point rather than endgame.

Apr 16, 2026·3 sources
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Apr 11, 2026

Federal Judge Blocks Arizona From Bringing Criminal Charges Against Kalshi

A federal judge ordered Arizona not to bring enforcement actions under state law against prediction market Kalshi, at least temporarily, as DOJ and CFTC argue the platform's contracts are federally regulated swaps rather than state-level gambling.

Apr 11, 2026·3 sources
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Apr 6, 2026

Kalshi Wins Appeals Court Ruling Against New Jersey on Sports Betting Jurisdiction

Federal appellate panel ruled that Kalshi's sports wagers should be regulated by the CFTC rather than state gambling regulators, marking the prediction market platform's biggest legal victory to date.

Apr 6, 2026·1 source
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Apr 5, 2026

Nevada Judge Extends Ban on Kalshi Sports Betting Markets, Ruling Contracts 'Indistinguishable' from Gambling

A Nevada state judge extended a temporary restraining order against Kalshi's sports prediction markets, ruling that the platform's baseball game contracts are indistinguishable from ordinary gambling and require a gaming license. The order extends a ban originally issued on March 20.

Apr 5, 2026·3 sources
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Apr 3, 2026

CFTC Sues Illinois, Arizona, and Connecticut Over Prediction Market Jurisdiction

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission filed lawsuits against Illinois, Arizona, and Connecticut, asserting exclusive federal jurisdiction over prediction markets under the Commodity Exchange Act. The suits challenge state cease-and-desist orders against prediction market operators.

Apr 3, 2026·4 sources
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Mar 28, 2026

Washington State Sues Kalshi Over Alleged Gambling Violations

Washington Attorney General filed lawsuit against prediction market operator Kalshi on Friday, alleging the platform offers gambling products disguised as prediction markets in violation of state regulations. This marks the latest state-level legal action against the company.

Mar 28, 2026·2 sources
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Mar 27, 2026

Intercontinental Exchange Completes $600 Million Investment in Polymarket

NYSE parent company ICE has completed a $600 million direct cash investment in prediction market platform Polymarket, bringing its total commitment to nearly $2 billion. The investment comes as prediction markets have surged past $20 billion in monthly volume, driven by geopolitics and macroeconomic event trading.

Mar 27, 2026·4 sources
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Top claims

  • ▪FlightAware's lawsuit argues that Kalshi's flight-cancellation contracts create safety risks by incentivizing unsafe attempts to disrupt airline operations and influence flight cancellations.
  • ▪New York Attorney General Letitia James and Governor Kathy Hochul sued Kalshi on July 31, 2026, seeking at least $36 billion for operating an unlicensed gambling business.
  • ▪In July 2026, Kalshi introduced prediction markets allowing users to trade on flight cancellations, telling users that contract outcomes are verified using FlightAware's data.

Topics

Prediction marketsCrypto marketsOnchain prediction marketsSports bettingDeFi
Crypto regulation
U.S. domestic politics
Market manipulation
Crypto enforcement actions
Commodity Futures Trading Commission
US Congress
Gambling regulation
Derivatives regulation
Robinhood
Crypto exchanges
Commodity Exchange Act
Federal preemption
Institutional crypto adoption
Crypto derivatives
Trading volume
Insider trading
Trump administration
Clinical trials
Drug development
Investment banking
Crypto regulatory agencies
Crypto regulatory frameworks
Securities vs. commodities
Crypto market integrity & manipulation
US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
Bitcoin Market Maturation Cycle
Blockchain quantum resistance
Crypto market regulation
Bitcoin
Bitcoin regulation
DeFi regulation
Crypto exchange regulation
Election betting
AI in politics
Altcoin markets
Altcoins
Landmark crypto cases
Legal
Institutional crypto partnerships & milestones

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